129773928556562500_205Hexun homepage established mobile phone version of the stock/fund comprehensive information of agricultural products of micro-blogging news blog spot rolling news channel reported outside the industrial focus column in the CFTC positionProblems getting started with futures prices traded futures position conversion tool for financial calendar investment skills basic knowledge comprehension Futures Forum line hexun.com Futures Forum team during the selection of experts > body font size print RSS on March 27, 2012: 26lai source: daily futures author: tanjing metal consumption in March is the traditional peak season, but due to downstream Enterprise starts slow recovery, increasing aluminum stock and Shanghai aluminum prices the main force of coercion, run narrowing the interval.
The current macroeconomic environment fundamentals in leading the Shanghai aluminum and aluminum in what direction? Data to improve in the near future
tera gold, risk aversionMood improve despite recent mixed economic data released, but overall a good investor risk aversion to improve. United States on March 17 when the number of applications for unemployment benefits the week since February 2008 the lowest levels, employment data continued to hold up well into a positive signal for the market. Release of the Federal Reserve interest on the Conference "United States Economic Outlook bright" argument also help reduceInvestor pessimism. France, Germany March manufacturing, service sector data poorly, but euro-zone consumer confidence rose for three consecutive months, risk aversion in the market has improved. National March of HSBC Manufacturing PMI initial 48.1 per cent, fell to a four-month low. $ 25.52 trillion of foreign exchange in late February than in January growth rate reduced nearly to 80% in the external you wantSeeking strong imports, domestic and foreign investment to the weak case, Exchange still is expected to decline, central banks facing short-term hedge pressure reduction.
Recent investor fear gauge VIX at 15 per cent, was low since 2011, shows that market sentiment ease investors using metal and other risk assets value of the external atmosphere is better. Aluminium growth continued, the libraryDeposit growth weakening phase on the latest inventory for 366,000 tons of aluminum
tera gold, rise of 2,273 tons a week earlier, an increase of narrowing trend. Spot aluminum inventories fell last week
tera power leveling, from the supply side, electrolytic aluminum production in January and February is 1.476 million tons and 1.536 million tons respectively, up growth and 12.31% respectively, primary aluminum supply fourMonths to continue to increase. From the aluminium plant starts March primary aluminum supply remains high, but slower inventory per cent, indicating that consumer demand in the lower magnification. Episodes in the callback procedure last week, spot resilient performance: on the one hand, market rumours that Indonesia will start in May of restrictions on its exports of bauxite, higher tariffs on bauxite exports, was boosted by higher alumina prices expected; On the other hand, traders based on the weather improves, recovery of the operating rate of the lower expected property hoarding, shrinking cash discount rate to the flat water, indicating lower aluminum consumption began to play a supporting role in promoting. Real estate regulatory relaxation of aluminium consumption as one of the two main subjects, in addition to steady growth, the lack of domestic production and marketing of new ideas. Another al-the main consumers--Real estate in the Government stresses that regulatory policy should not relax and relax first mortgage of an aspect in the fall out of use. February housing boom index to 97.89, January-February 24% area of land transactions fell in 13 major cities, shows that real estate is not a full recovery from the winter early. Premier Wen Jiabao, in two sessions, at a press conference that "home prices are far from return to reasonable price"Investors concerned that real estate regulatory policy will further raise. But is worthy of note, since the end of December last year mortgage has been relaxed, first suite of credit line increase and loan interest rates also fell, demand after the fall in house prices begin to approach, major cities in China since mid-February, the commercial transactions continued to pick up. Housing Department affirmed that no longer to impose more stringent regulation of politicalStrategy, the Government continues to seek balance in the regulation and economic growth, real estate development also in the twists and turns, on Al-led demand growth will continue. United States employment data continues to be good, continuous rise in euro-zone consumer confidence as well as short-term bank hedge reduction of pressure increase, overall improvement in risk aversion, risk asset prices such as metal campBuild a better external environment. While the primary aluminum supply increasing trend is clearly, but the growing convergence of aluminum futures and spot inventories grew by, indicate that lower demand start. Terminal sales continue to pick up strengthening aluminum demand growth forecast. Tariffs on Indonesian bauxite rumors consolidated cost of electrolytic aluminium support. In view of the above factors support and Shanghai aluminum triangle bottom support, select the up suddenlyMore likely broken triangle. (Author: future of the Yangtze River)
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